The upcoming parliamentary election will certainly decide the fate of Sri Lanka. It will undoubtedly decide whether Sri Lanka will end up becoming a divided country on ethnic lines and the 30th federal state of India. In other words what we knew as the patch of land as Sri Lanka for 2500 will no longer be as it has so far been in the event of a UNP led government coming into power. There will undoubtedly be a host of profound political, demographical, sociological and economical changes in such an eventuality.
1. In a few years' time, Eelam would be an inevitable realty. The federal status for North and East has already been promised. Merger of North and East provinces would be precursor for this as claimed by Tamil National Alliance.
2. Sri Lanka will literally become a yet another state of India given unprecedented influence it wields on the country's affairs. Catastrophically harmful CEPA agreement would be the launching pad for this. Sri Lanka will be a worse position than Nepal and Bhutan, two weak countries in South Asia which have become unfortunate victims of India's hegemony. The two countries have virtually been strangled economically and politically for many decades now. Among many other debilitating effects on Sri Lanka, there will be an exodus of millions of Indians to Sri Lanka for employments without visas as has been happening in Nepal and Bhutan. Statistics would throw some light on the matter. India is home to 56 million jobless people while Sri Lanka's is 500,000 as per Shenali Waduge's this excellent article which details out many other devastating impacts that will decapitate Sri Lanka. There will be a demographical change in a massive proposition. Indians would settle in Sri Lanka illegally and legally in thousands resulting in inevitable tensions among people. India has already got loans approval from ADB for the land, tunnel and rail link between the two countries. This link will exacerbate in many folds the devastating impacts above described.
3. The biggest causality would be the national security which was preserved with paramount importance during president Mahinda's tenure. LTTE and Tamil Nadu are hell bent to see a lapse on the part of Sri Lanka's security. Removal of some military bases in North and East, some located in strategic locations such as Sampur (Samapura) naval base, would reverse all the gains made at the expenses of nearly 30,000 lives of Sinhala youth. Sri Lanka already reaps the fruits of easing the naval petrol in Northern and Eastern seas by way of poaching by Tamil Nadu fishermen in massive proportions.
4. Sri Lanka will be a yet another fully fledged stooge of Christian Western Imperialists. (It is the same case now as well). The Philippines, an ex-American colony is the biggest Roman Catholic state in South East Asia while South Korea which had over 90% Buddhist population when Korean War started in 1950s has by 2005 only 22.8% Buddhists. The remaining are Christians.
If a majority of Sri Lankans takes a wrong decision on 17th August that will certainly be similar to the event that happened 200 years ago in 1815 when Sinhale was fully subjugated by Western Christian Imperialists.
If a majority of Sri Lankans takes a wrong decision on 17th August that will certainly be similar to the event that happened 200 years ago in 1815 when Sinhale was fully subjugated by Western Christian Imperialists.